Results
Same events. Who should you trust?
We gave Claude and GPT the same made-up event packs that ARGUS’s formulas saw. Models were fine at spotting surges and ranking “which place looks hotter.” They were weak at naming the risk level, testing a claim, and saying how sure you should be.
| Job | Plain question | What we saw | Better choice |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spot a surge | Is activity really jumping? | Models matched 100% | Either |
| Rank places | Which country looks hotter? | Models ranked well | Models (for sorting) |
| Name the risk level | Is it LOW or CRITICAL? | Only ~11% matched ARGUS | ARGUS |
| Test a claim | Does this report support or contradict? | Only ~40–53% matched | ARGUS |
| Say how sure | How confident should the brief be? | GPT overclaimed | ARGUS |
Takeaway. Use a model to help write or sort. Use ARGUS for the grades that decide what goes in the brief.
How the formulas work: methods.
Get ARGUS
Free. Open source. Clone it and run it on your own computer.